When To Attack Iran.
Let's say you wanted to launch a massive air assault on Iran. (I don't.) When would you want to do it?
You can't do much about the element of macro surprise, what with half the US Navy parked in or near the Persian Gulf. The Iranians will have intuited that we are considering a time and place to let the Air Force and Navy get in on the fun.
So the best you can do as a war-planner is a pick a time when the Iranians would be least likely to expect the blow. You go for the micro surprise.
I would do it right now. With Mr. Bush in Iraq. Wrap up his meet n' greets, pack him onto Air Force One, and launch the attack before he clears Iraqi air space.
The surge is at its apogee, Congress is away, we're coming out of peak summer gasoline demand and haven't yet approached the heating oil season, the presidential race is still in low gear, and we have the anniversary of 9/11 coming up.
Yep. If it was me I'd push the button in the next couple of days.
You can't do much about the element of macro surprise, what with half the US Navy parked in or near the Persian Gulf. The Iranians will have intuited that we are considering a time and place to let the Air Force and Navy get in on the fun.
So the best you can do as a war-planner is a pick a time when the Iranians would be least likely to expect the blow. You go for the micro surprise.
I would do it right now. With Mr. Bush in Iraq. Wrap up his meet n' greets, pack him onto Air Force One, and launch the attack before he clears Iraqi air space.
The surge is at its apogee, Congress is away, we're coming out of peak summer gasoline demand and haven't yet approached the heating oil season, the presidential race is still in low gear, and we have the anniversary of 9/11 coming up.
Yep. If it was me I'd push the button in the next couple of days.
This entry was posted by Michael Reynolds, on
Monday, September 03, 2007.
You can leave your response.
12:44 PM
I continually wonder why. Why Iran? What's the point? Do we really want to be the next British Empire (complete with rise and fall of)?
The image I visualize is one of a red ant hill. We pour water (or hot oil?) and the ants scramble. And boy howdy, are they pissed off! The little tyke in sandals, pouring the water, must JUMP and RUN, lest his feet are stung by the viper-angry red ants.
Diminishing returns?
Another phrase pingponging in my mind these days.
But, it's almost Autumn.
1:45 PM
I can undersatand the "why" of Iran: nuclear facilities, support for Hezbollah, interference in Iraq.
What I can't understand is what we do about shipping in the Persian Gulf or oil production or dealing with a Hezbollah counterattack in the west or the fact that the Iraqi Shiite forces could be a whole lot more troublesome.