Michael, Michael, Michael.... At this point, you are supposed to pretend you predicted this all along and blithely ignore anyone who points out anything you've written (even if it was 10 minutes ago). That's the only route to become a highly-paid, professional and influential pundit. I'm disapppointed in you, Michael. I had such high hopes of seeing you knock a chips off shoulders right and left on MSNBC or CNN, or even Fox, where they could use a token combative Democrat instead of the mushy ones currently employed.
It was funny watching the pundits on MSNBC desperately seeking a new narrative to explain 1) what had happened and 2) how they had -- in some tortured way -- gotten some tiny thing right. Then Pat Buchanan comes along and just blurts out the truth: the pollsters blew it and the press blew it.
True, but as I said on some thread below, I really do think Obama blew it with his debate performance. It was no better or worse than his others (and that was the problem). He's just not all that interesting or inspiring in debate as he is in public speaking. So, all those people who were swpet off their feet by Iowa and answered the pollsters on Friday and Saturday, sat down to watch Saturday night's debate and came away wondering, "Why did I change my mind again?" Then the flap over the near-tears probably reminded more than a few that Clinton gets no slack and pretty contentious press treatment, which leaves those waffling wondering "What's up with that?" (No proof, just thoughts.)
Turns out that your 12/20 prediction hit it right on the head. But who knew? Chris Matthews said it's always the Dem Establishment Candidate, then changed his mind. Jim Croce once sang "but that not the way it feels." I don't trust my instincts anymore.
I think the media spin is wrong. This is a 2% margin of victory; Clinton and Obama split the delegates evenly. In fact, Obama actually won the inside game and got one more superdelegate out of his canvassing than Clinton, so tonight he actually got closer to the nomination than Clinton did.
Clinton dodged a bullet, that's all. That doesn't mean she's the annointed one again bya long shot.