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Wow Poll.

Drudge has a leaked CNN poll. It shows both Hillary and Obama beating all GOP candidates. It also shows this:

January 9-10
Would Definitely Vote Against That Candidate in November

Romney 62%
Giuliani 55%
Huckabee 52%
Clinton 43%
McCain 43%
Obama 38%

Sampling error: +/-3.5% pts

January 9-10
Would Definitely Vote For That Candidate in November

Clinton 37%
Obama 30%
McCain 22%
Giuliani 19%
Huckabee 15%
Romney 13%

Three Republican candidates all with higher negatives than Hillary. And Hillary has the highest commitment level.

Caveat #1: these are registereds not likelys.
Caveat #2: New Hampshire.

But that aside, after all we've heard about Hillary's negatives, three of the top four GOP candidates not only have higher won't-vote numbers, but significantly higher numbers. Romney's won't-votes are 50% higher? 50%? And Saint Rudy of 9/11 beats her by 12 points?


But the fascinating thing is that Hillary's negatives are still sky-high.

January 9-10
Opinion of Hillary Clinton
Now Sept.
Favorable 53% 53%
Unfavorable 47% 39%

January 9-10
Opinion of Rudy Giuliani
Now Sept.
Favorable 46% 54%
Unfavorable 39% 32%
So, people don't like Hillary. They dislike her more now than in September. They dislike her substantially more than they dislike, say, Rudy. And yet they'll vote for her. More people dislike Hillary than will vote against her. Put the other way 'round, some will hold their noses and pull the lever for Hillary.

Assuming Drudge has this right, this is fascinating stuff. Republicans should be very afraid.

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“Wow Poll.”

  1. Blogger Michael Reynolds Says:

    Reading this back, I note that I have transposed "negatives" with "won't votes" pretty freely. Let this be a lesson to you kids: don't blog while the Ambien is starting to work.

  2. Blogger Ruth Anne Adams Says:

    Speaking as an Elmer Fudd Republican: We ahr vewwy vewwy afwaid.

    Pweasant sweep, Mistah Weynolds.

  3. Blogger Transplanted Lawyer Says:

    Well, it's not exactly news that Democrats would have a huge leg up in this race. It is sort of news that it's becoming so personalized against particular Republican candidates -- but then again, Republicans have only themselves to blame for that, so savagely have they attacked one another for so long. I don't think there will be any new, substantial dirt for the Democrats to throw at the eventual nominee after what we've seen so far.